Tampa Bay Buccaneers desk
Outlook
The next club question, the evidence behind it, and what to watch next.
updated through generation 31176 · 17:58 ET · #8225 · TB · S Ifeatu Melifonwu reverts to practice squad after Week Two elevation.
Week 3 · TB vs MIN
What should TB learn about A'Shawn Robinson before the 2026 contract window closes?
A'Shawn Robinson · 2026 cap hit $10,000,000 · signed through 2026.
Over The Cap · 2026-09-20. Contract term · 2026-09-20. Current club membership checked against the roster.
2026 baseline: Sacks 1 in 2 games · nflverse player statistics 2026. This is counting production, not an efficiency or player-quality grade.
Why now: This is the largest joined cap commitment among current roster members whose recorded term ends this season. Early-season usage and availability can inform the next contract decision; an expiring term alone is not a recommendation to replace him.
Watch next: 2026-09-27 · MIN at TB · official availability, playing time and assignments. Separate changes in opportunity from changes in efficiency.
House question based on sourced facts. 20 roster amounts remain unresolved; this is a known subset, not a complete valuation. A cap hit is accounting cost, not a cut saving.
Prior evidence · retain the original season and window
Baker from week 9 onward 2025: 27th INT rate, 7th-lowest pressure rate, 3rd-lowest throwaway rate, 24th first downs per attempt, 25th NY/A, 6th scramble rate.
Window: 2025 week 9 onward
Nate Tice · no n — will not paint as fact
Y/dropback 8th→22nd; success 6th→36th; EPA T-5th→22nd; dropback success 10th→27thqualified quarterbacks (not dropbacks)
Without Mike Evans, Baker falls from about a top-10 QB to a bottom-10 QB. 37 QBs qualified. X-factor for 2026.
Window: Baker's Bucs starts, with vs without Evans
Nate Tice · n=37
9-8 vs 8.5games
Both 9-8. Market 8.5.
Window: 2026 season
Josh Norris · n=17
Both pick Tampa to win the South narrowly over New Orleans. Saints sneak a wild card.
Window: August 2026 gun-to-head
Josh Norris · no n — will not paint as fact