San Francisco 49ers desk
Outlook
The next club question, the evidence behind it, and what to watch next.
updated through generation 31176 · 17:58 ET · #7218 · SF · signed TE Jack Stoll to the team's practice squad.
Week 3 · SF vs ARI
What should SF learn about Deebo Samuel Sr. before the 2026 contract window closes?
Deebo Samuel Sr. · 2026 cap hit $4,880,000 · signed through 2026.
Over The Cap · 2026-09-20. Contract term · 2026-09-20. Current club membership checked against the roster.
2026 baseline: Receiving yards 79 in 2 games · nflverse player statistics 2026. This is counting production, not an efficiency or player-quality grade.
Why now: This is the largest joined cap commitment among current roster members whose recorded term ends this season. Early-season usage and availability can inform the next contract decision; an expiring term alone is not a recommendation to replace him.
Watch next: 2026-09-27 · ARI at SF · official availability, playing time and assignments. Separate changes in opportunity from changes in efficiency.
House question based on sourced facts. 20 roster amounts remain unresolved; this is a known subset, not a complete valuation. A cap hit is accounting cost, not a cut saving.
Prior evidence · retain the original season and window
37%plays
SF ran 21 personnel on 37% of offensive plays in 2025 (393 of 1,060).
Window: 2025 regular season
Sharp Football Analysis · n=1060
Sharp Football Analysis · 2026-08-3045%plays
SF used two or more running backs on 45% of offensive plays in 2025 (480 of 1,060).
Window: 2025 regular season
Sharp Football Analysis · n=1060
Sharp Football Analysis · 2026-08-3056.0%plays
SF used pre-snap motion on 56.0% of plays in 2025 (757 of 1,352), the highest rate in the NFL.
Window: 2025 regular season
Muffed (FTN Data via nflverse) · n=1352
Muffed (FTN Data via nflverse) · 2026-09-0349.8%third-down attempts
SF converted 49.8% of third downs in 2025 (106 of 213), first in the NFL.
Window: 2025 regular season
Pro-Football-Reference · n=213
Pro-Football-Reference · 2026-09-0565.2%red-zone trips
SF scored a touchdown on 65.2% of red-zone trips in 2025 (43 of 66).
Window: 2025 regular season
Pro-Football-Reference · n=66
Pro-Football-Reference · 2026-09-05